5
Osmium
5yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 28
Fairview · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 68 Handicap · 1m 1f 208y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Fairview | ? | 10th | 7th | +3 |
| 2026-07-31 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Scottsville | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/12/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 18/01/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/02/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 12/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 93% | +0.27 |
| 28/08/2026 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |