12

Preserve Forever

5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 47

Fairview · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 68 Handicap · 1m 1f 208y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Latest win here in April. Good second of 6 in handicap (5/2) at this course (9.4f) 21 days ago. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairview 06/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 1196/01C7C7 @ Fairview 13/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 120C5 @ Fairview 10/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 110 · HIGHER CLASS10/03C5C7 @ Fairview 22/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 116C7 @ Fairview 11/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 115 · HIGHER CLASS11/05C7C7 @ Fairview 08/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 119C7 @ Fairview 31/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 12131/07C7C7 @ Fairview 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 119C7 @ Fairview 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 1219/09C7projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Fairview?2nd2nd−0
2026-08-21Fairview?3rd3rd0
2026-07-31Fairview?13th13th−0
2026-06-08Fairview?3rd3rd0
2026-05-11Fairview?6th5th+1
2026-04-22Fairview?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0122/0431/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength46%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/01/20267th8/158%50%-0.08
13/02/20265th9/276%64%-0.13
10/03/20268th18/15%36%+0.31
22/04/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
11/05/20266th15/261%38%-0.23
08/06/20263rd9/276%80%+0.04
31/07/202613th11/142%14%-0.28
21/08/20263rd12/137%60%+0.23
09/09/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07