3

Silvano's Song

7yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 63

Fairview · Tab Telebet 011 074 0300 Mr 68 Handicap · 1m 1f 208y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Creditable fourth of 16 in handicap at this course (9.4f, 33/1). Off 110 days.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength38%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Turffontein 03/12/2024 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS3/12C7C7 @ Vaal 16/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Fairview 07/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS7/11C6C6 @ Fairview 28/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 13/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f208y Std 137 · HIGHER CLASS13/02C5C5 @ Fairview 06/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f205y 119 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 10/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 13910/04C7C6 @ Fairview 11/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f98y Std 13612/06C7projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-12Fairview?4th4th−0
2026-05-11Fairview?9th8th+1
2026-04-10Fairview?7th7th0
2026-03-06Fairview?12th9th+3
2026-02-13Fairview?9th6th+3
2025-11-28Fairview?9th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1228/1110/0412/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength85%

Delivery trend +4.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/12/20241st9/276%100%+0.24
16/01/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
07/11/202510th12/137%10%-0.27
28/11/20259th20/10%0%0.00
13/02/20269th28/10%33%+0.33
06/03/202612th12/137%21%-0.15
10/04/20267th14/126%50%+0.24
11/05/20269th40/10%0%0.00
12/06/20264th25/10%80%+0.80