5
Blackberry Breeze
6yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 57
Fairview · www.tab.co.za Mr 78 Handicap · 7f 210y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength76%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-07-03 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 78% | -0.13 |
| 13/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 10/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.00 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 89% | -0.01 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |