6
Hoodwinked
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 64
Fairview · www.tab.co.za Mr 78 Handicap · 7f 210y
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength38%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 1st | +0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Fairview | ? | 15th | 13th | +2 |
| 2024-12-26 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength79%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2024 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 29/09/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 06/11/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 26/12/2024 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 13/03/2026 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 29% | -0.35 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 26/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |