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4

King Viserys

6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 79

Fairview · www.tab.co.za Mr 78 Handicap · 7f 210y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

60%

Place Prob

53%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Career best when winning 9-runner minor event at this C&D (15/10) 5 days ago. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fairview 03/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS3/02C5C5 @ Fairview 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 132 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 27/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 7f210y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASS27/03C5C7 @ Fairview 24/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f102y Std 138C7 @ Fairview 22/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 13722/05C7C7 @ Fairview 24/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Std 131C7 @ Fairview 07/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1387/08C7C5 @ Fairview 26/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Fairview 25/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS25/09C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-25Fairview?1st-1th+2
2026-08-26Fairview?1st-1th+2
2026-08-07Fairview?4th5th−1
2026-07-24Fairview?6th7th−0
2026-05-22Fairview?6th7th−1
2026-04-24Fairview?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0224/047/0825/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength66%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/02/20264th28/10%73%+0.73
27/02/20262nd16/116%91%+0.75
27/03/202612th13/266%8%-0.57
24/04/20264th28/10%70%+0.70
22/05/20266th16/116%55%+0.39
24/07/20266th15/261%55%-0.06
07/08/20264th9/276%67%-0.10
26/08/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
25/09/20261st13/891%100%+0.09