9

Run The World

5yo Gelding · 8-3 · OR 32

Fairview · www.tab.co.za Mr 78 Handicap · 7f 210y

#8

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Latest win here in August. 5/1, eighth of 12 in handicap at Fairview (8f, good to soft) 19 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Fairview 19/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 12519/12C7C5 @ Fairview 06/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 119 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 22/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12322/05C7C7 @ Fairview 12/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Std 117C7 @ Fairview 03/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 7f210y Std 1213/07C7C7 @ Fairview 24/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Std 119C5 @ Fairview 14/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Std 115 · HIGHER CLASS14/08C5C7 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 122C7 @ Fairview 11/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y GS 12211/09C7projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Fairview?8th9th−1
2026-09-04Fairview?2nd3rd−1
2026-08-14Fairview?1st-1th+2
2026-07-24Fairview?8th9th−1
2026-07-03Fairview?3rd4th−1
2026-06-12Fairview?9th9th−0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1212/0614/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/12/20258th14/126%22%-0.04
06/01/20268th18/15%13%+0.07
22/05/20267th66/10%45%+0.45
12/06/20269th14/126%0%-0.26
03/07/20263rd33/10%83%+0.83
24/07/20268th11/271%22%-0.49
14/08/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
04/09/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16
11/09/20268th4/179%36%-0.43