13
Beneath The Moon
7yo Mare · 8-3 · OR 50
Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Friday 2 October Fm 74 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | ? | 11th | 12th | −0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2025-10-10 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2025-08-12 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 9th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +8.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/2025 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 18/07/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 04/08/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 12/08/2025 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 42% | -0.37 |
| 19/09/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 24/06/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |