9

Blood Of Eden

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 46

Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Friday 2 October Fm 74 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y

#12

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner at Turffontein in March. 50/1, first run since leaving A. Ndzilana when fifth of 7 in handicap at this course (6f) 26 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Vaal 22/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13022/01C8C8 @ Vaal 24/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 132C8 @ Vaal 05/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1325/03C8C8 @ Turffontein 19/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 132C7 @ Turffontein 30/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 12930/04C7C7 @ Turffontein 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 7f46y Gd 129 · HIGHER CLASSC6 @ Vaal 18/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m99y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS18/06C6C7 @ Vaal 25/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASSC7 @ Fairview 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Std 125 · HIGHER CLASS4/09C7projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Fairview?5th5th+0
2026-06-25Vaal?7th7th+0
2026-06-18Vaal?8th8th+0
2026-06-04Turffontein?7th7th+0
2026-04-30Turffontein?8th8th−0
2026-03-19Turffontein?1st3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0119/0318/064/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/01/20266th4/179%38%-0.41
24/02/20264th7/491%50%-0.41
05/03/20265th7/163%64%+0.00
19/03/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
30/04/20268th18/15%13%+0.07
04/06/20267th40/10%40%+0.40
18/06/20268th12/137%22%-0.15
25/06/20267th28/10%14%+0.14
04/09/20265th40/10%33%+0.33