1
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4yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 61
Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Friday 2 October Fm 74 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Fairview | ? | 7th | 8th | −0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength80%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 13/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 70% | +0.65 |
| 22/04/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 18/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |