12
My Ami Beach
8yo Mare · 8-4 · OR 45
Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Friday 2 October Fm 74 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 5th | −0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Fairview | ? | 6th | 7th | −0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | ? | 10th | 11th | −0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Fairview | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +6.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 03/04/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 31% | -0.35 |
| 10/04/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 01/05/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 10% | -0.37 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 24/06/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |
| 17/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |