8
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4yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 46
Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Friday 2 October Fm 74 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Fairview | ? | 10th | 10th | +0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-08 | Fairview | ? | 3rd | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-18 | Durbanville | ? | 8th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength37%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 04/02/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 18/03/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 78% | +0.23 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 26/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 18/09/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |