Wild Star
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 43
Fairview · Next Fairview Racemeeting Friday 2 October Fm 74 Handicap (F & M) · 6f 211y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-31 | Fairview | ? | 8th | 8th | −0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Fairview | ? | 1st | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-10 | Fairview | ? | 4th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fairview | ? | 5th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-01-30 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 30/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 06/03/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 10/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 63% | +0.26 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 31/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 43% | +0.38 |