4
Mind Of Gold
9yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 58
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 08/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 27/10/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 15/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |