5
Oh Mrs. Maisel
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 55
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -9.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2024 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 19/08/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 08/09/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 19/11/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 26/08/2026 | 8th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |