1
Pure Elegance
7yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 69
Finger Lakes · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength86%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 15/10/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 04/11/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 28/07/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |