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4

Vino's Valentine

4yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 79

Finger Lakes · Race 4 - Allowance · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 10/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 69 · 6f110y Gd 126 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 69 par10/04C9OR 69C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 22/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 72 · 6f 125 · below its mark22/04/2026 · OR 72 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 27/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 72 · 6f 124 · beat its mark27/05/2026 · OR 72 par27/05C5OR 72C5 @ Finger Lakes 08/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 71 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 71 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 23/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 71 par23/06C5OR 71C5 @ Finger Lakes 14/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 71 · 5f110y 124 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 71 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 73 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 73 par5/08C5OR 73C5 @ Finger Lakes 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 74 · 6f 124 · beat its mark25/08/2026 · OR 74 parC5 @ Finger Lakes 15/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 77 par15/09C5OR 77projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-08-25Finger Lakes?3rd3rd0
2026-08-05Finger Lakes?4th4th0
2026-07-14Finger Lakes?1st1st0
2026-06-23Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0
2026-06-08Finger Lakes?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/048/065/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/04/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
22/04/20266th11/271%29%-0.42
27/05/20264th8/158%40%-0.18
08/06/20262nd2/189%75%-0.14
23/06/20262nd20/10%88%+0.88
14/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
05/08/20264th9/153%57%+0.05
25/08/20263rd10/147%60%+0.13
15/09/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10