2
Charging Aero
7yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 89
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
54%
Place Prob
44%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Aqueduct | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Aqueduct | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |
| 30/01/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 14/02/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 16/03/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 06/04/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 03/05/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 29/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |