9
Stormin Sammy
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 78
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength69%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 43% | -0.50 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 20/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/11 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 60% | -0.30 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |