5
Beev's Blessing
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 63
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength71%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-06-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +10.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 23/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 16/09/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |