1
Detail Oriented
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 68
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Aqueduct | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength93%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/09/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 27/12/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |