Racerx
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 75
Finger Lakes · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
87%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-15 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 29/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 13/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 15/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |