Angel Gift

3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 78

Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

78%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▬

Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C4.8

Today:

Class gap: +0.2

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-18	Finger Lakes	?	1st	1st	0	9.0
2026-07-27	Finger Lakes	?	1st	1st	0	9.0
2026-07-04	Saratoga	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-06-05	Saratoga	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2025-10-25	Belmont At The Big A	?	8th	7th	+1	2.6
2025-08-22	Saratoga	?	5th	4th	+1	5.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%

▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price

Trend▲

Strength89%

Delivery trend +6.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
08/06/2025	1st	11/4	86%	100%	+0.14
03/08/2025	5th	10/3	82%	0%	-0.82
22/08/2025	5th	9/2	76%	20%	-0.56
25/10/2025	8th	12/1	37%	0%	-0.37
05/06/2026	5th	7/1	63%	43%	-0.20
04/07/2026	7th	14/1	26%	14%	-0.12
27/07/2026	1st	5/4	93%	100%	+0.07
18/08/2026	1st	4/6	96%	100%	+0.04