4
Paula's A Star
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 92
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Saratoga | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength73%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/07/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 24/08/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 63% | +0.36 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |