1
Queens Over Threes
6yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 71
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Allowance · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 12/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 01/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 20/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 31/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |