3
Juniors Pal
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 55
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-03-22 | Aqueduct | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 08/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |