IvyArcIvyArc
9

C R Zara

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 42

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

28%

Place Prob

22%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 5f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS8/07C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 37 · 5f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 37 par29/07C6OR 37C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 38 · 5f 120 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 38 par11/09C9OR 38projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2026-07-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th2nd+3
2026-07-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th7th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0729/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength52%

Delivery trend +22.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/202610th9/153%0%-0.53
29/07/20265th25/10%20%+0.20
11/09/20263rd6/168%60%-0.08