3
Capability
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 55
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 05/08/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |