Dama Diamante

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 64

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

13%

Place Prob

15%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼2

Strength64%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: +1.7

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-31	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	9th	6th	+3	4.0
2026-08-10	Presque Isle Downs	?	3rd	0th	+3	5.0
2026-07-18	Ellis Park	?	2nd	2nd	0	8.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▼

Strength22%

Delivery trend -44.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
18/07/2026	2nd	20/1	0%	89%	+0.89
10/08/2026	3rd	9/1	53%	60%	+0.07
31/08/2026	9th	20/1	0%	0%	0.00