11
C. J's Storm
6yo Gelding · 9-0
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - To Much Coffee Handicap · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 2-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength27%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 01/10/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 29/10/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 18% | -0.40 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 11/09/2026 | 11th | 11/2 | 71% | 9% | -0.62 |