8
Gas Alley
4yo Gelding · 8-12
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - To Much Coffee Handicap · 1m 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 11-16 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength2%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 14th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 23/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 22/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 25/05/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |