15

Gin And Whiskey
4yo Gelding · 8-12
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - To Much Coffee Handicap · 1m 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 16/09/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 01/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 13/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |