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13

Goldwyn

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - To Much Coffee Handicap · 1m 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 76 · 6f 118 · beat its mark18/08/2025 · OR 76 par18/08C5OR 76C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 78 · 1m110y 118 · beat its mark09/09/2025 · OR 78 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 88 · 1m Fas 119 · beat its mark09/10/2025 · OR 88 par9/10C5OR 88C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m110y Gd 121C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 86 · 6f 119 · below its mark13/11/2025 · OR 86 par13/11C6OR 86C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 89 · 6f 121 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 89 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 95 · 6f 119 · beat its mark04/06/2026 · OR 95 par4/06C5OR 95C0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f Fas 124C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 96 · 5f110y 119 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 96 par9/09C6OR 96projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-06-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th9th0
2026-06-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-05-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-11-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd3rd0
2025-10-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0829/104/069/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 5-16 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/08/20254th13/266%63%-0.03
09/09/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
09/10/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
29/10/20259th3/184%27%-0.57
13/11/20253rd3/184%71%-0.13
01/05/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
04/06/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
24/06/20269th2/598%0%-0.98
09/09/20262nd13/266%75%+0.09