12
Jazzole
4yo Colt · 8-12
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - To Much Coffee Handicap · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 11/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 07/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 25/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 26/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 14/09/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |