9
Rich Kingdom
9yo Gelding · 8-12
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - To Much Coffee Handicap · 1m 110y
#16
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength17%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 01/10/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 23/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/11/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 18/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 25/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 27/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 14/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |