7
Run Away Rojo
6yo Gelding · 9-0
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - To Much Coffee Handicap · 1m 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1640% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength60%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 19/05/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 01/07/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 20/08/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 01/10/2025 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 27% | -0.39 |
| 29/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/08/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |