6
Sir Bahjy
4yo Gelding · 9-0
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - To Much Coffee Handicap · 1m 110y
#13
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 29/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |