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5

Takeitandrun

5yo Gelding · 8-12

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - To Much Coffee Handicap · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 72 · 1m 122 · beat its mark08/07/2025 · OR 72 par8/07C7OR 72C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 75 · 1m Fas 122 · beat its mark06/08/2025 · OR 75 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 82 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark04/09/2025 · OR 82 par4/09C8OR 82C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 85 · 1m 122 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 85 parC0 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m110y Gd 12429/10C?C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 89 · 1m Gd 121 · beat its mark12/11/2025 · OR 89 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 01/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 91 · 1m Fas 124 · beat its mark01/02/2026 · OR 91 par1/02C5OR 91C0 @ Colonial Downs 12/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f Gd 119C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 98 · 1m Fas 119 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 98 par30/07C7OR 98projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-03-12Colonial Downs?6th6th0
2026-02-01Mahoning Valley?1st1st0
2025-11-12Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2025-10-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2025-10-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0714/101/0230/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength77%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
06/08/20252nd13/891%83%-0.08
04/09/20259th4/179%0%-0.79
14/10/20251st10/1195%100%+0.05
29/10/20255th5/287%64%-0.23
12/11/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
01/02/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
12/03/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
30/07/20261st4/797%100%+0.03