3
Tiz Eddie
5yo Gelding · 9-0
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - To Much Coffee Handicap · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 78% | -0.13 |
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 83% | -0.13 |
| 14/08/2025 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 8/11 | 96% | 25% | -0.71 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 1/1 | 95% | 38% | -0.57 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |