IvyArcIvyArc
10

Klt Fursflyin

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 58

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 12 - Maiden Claiming · 1f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength48%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/05/2024 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1f30y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS28/05C8BHA50 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 12/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 50 · 1f130y Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/05/2025 · OR 50 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 50 · 1f80y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/09/2025 · OR 50 par9/09C8OR 50C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 53 · 1f80y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/10/2025 · OR 53 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 61 · 1f110y 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/10/2025 · OR 61 par30/10C8OR 61C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 66 · 1f80y Fas 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 66 · 1f110y 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 66 par4/06C8OR 66C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 56 · 1f110y 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 56 par8/07C8OR 56projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th4th+1
2026-06-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th9th+1
2026-04-29Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd2nd+1
2025-10-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th3rd+1
2025-10-14Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th4th+1
2025-09-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0514/104/068/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%

Delivery trend -7.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20248th16/116%22%+0.06
12/05/20257th16/116%0%-0.16
09/09/20252nd50/10%88%+0.88
14/10/20255th10/147%56%+0.08
30/10/20254th6/168%67%-0.02
29/04/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
04/06/202610th9/488%0%-0.88
08/07/20265th9/153%56%+0.03