Lc Dancer Mary

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 57

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 12 - Maiden Claiming · 1f 110y

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▼2

Strength83%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.4

Today:

Class gap: +2.1

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-07-10	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	3rd	2nd	+1	7.6
2026-05-11	Horseshoe Indianapolis	BHA51	3rd	-1th	+3	5.0
2025-11-10	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	8th	7th	+1	2.6
2025-09-16	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	8th	3rd	+4	6.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +15.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
16/09/2025	8th	16/1	16%	0%	-0.16
10/11/2025	8th	4/1	79%	22%	-0.57
11/05/2026	3rd	15/2	61%	75%	+0.14
10/07/2026	3rd	7/1	63%	75%	+0.12