Niyo De Oro
5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 64
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 12 - Maiden Claiming · 1f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-08-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA74 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-05-12 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA66 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 11/05/2026 | 10th | 7/4 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 08/07/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 22% | -0.57 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |