12

Wanna Sweet Treet

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 58

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 12 - Maiden Claiming · 1f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 64 · 1f80y Fas 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/04/2026 · OR 64 par8/04C8OR 64BHA63 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 63 · 1f130y 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 63 par11/0563OR 63C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 58 · 1f110y 128 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/07/2026 · OR 58 par8/07C8OR 58projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?6th5th+1
2026-05-11Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA637th4th+2
2026-04-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0411/058/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength78%

Delivery trend +18.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
11/05/20267th14/126%33%+0.07
08/07/20266th20/10%44%+0.44