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10

Miss Monroe County

5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 63

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/07/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 6f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS11/07C6C9 @ Turfway Park 06/02/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 82 · 6f110y Fas 122 · below its mark06/02/2025 · OR 82 parC9 @ Turfway Park 02/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 78 · 1m Fas 126 · below its mark02/03/2025 · OR 78 par2/03C9OR 78C9 @ Keeneland 16/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 76 · 6f Fas 125 · below its mark16/04/2025 · OR 76 parC9 @ Churchill Downs 26/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 72 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark26/05/2025 · OR 72 par26/05C9OR 72C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 75 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/05/2026 · OR 75 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 61 · 6f 124 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 61 par7/07C9OR 61C9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 13/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 56 · 1m110y 124 · beat its mark13/08/2026 · OR 56 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 56 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 56 par9/09C9OR 56projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-08-13Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-07-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-05-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th5th+3
2025-05-26Churchill Downs?4th4th0
2025-04-16Keeneland?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0716/047/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength98%

Delivery trend +10.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/07/20245th9/153%20%-0.33
06/02/20256th11/271%29%-0.42
02/03/20253rd4/596%33%-0.62
16/04/20257th12/137%45%+0.09
26/05/20254th10/382%63%-0.20
26/05/20268th16/116%0%-0.16
07/07/20264th14/126%40%+0.14
13/08/20264th4/179%67%-0.12
09/09/20264th20/10%67%+0.67