Shidoni

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 70

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

21%

Place Prob

24%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength37%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C8.1

Today:

Class gap: +0.4

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-09	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-08-13	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	3rd	3rd	0	7.0
2026-08-05	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-07-15	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0
2026-06-11	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-05-29	Churchill Downs	?	8th	8th	0	2.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▬

Strength74%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
14/04/2026	5th	40/1	0%	20%	+0.20
24/04/2026	6th	50/1	0%	38%	+0.38
07/05/2026	4th	25/1	0%	25%	+0.25
29/05/2026	8th	50/1	0%	22%	+0.22
11/06/2026	5th	33/1	0%	50%	+0.50
15/07/2026	7th	40/1	0%	0%	0.00
05/08/2026	5th	33/1	0%	20%	+0.20
13/08/2026	3rd	10/1	47%	78%	+0.30
09/09/2026	3rd	12/1	37%	71%	+0.35