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2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 79

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Back Home Again Stakes · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 5f 11927/07C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength96%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/07/20261st9/276%100%+0.24