7
Looks Like Lainey
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 74
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Back Home Again Stakes · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 1.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-05-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +11.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |