3
Miss Unbridled
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 31
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Back Home Again Stakes · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲2
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-09-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 11th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +22.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |