Kick A Buck
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-06-20 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-06-12 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-03-18 | Fair Grounds | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2024 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 82% | +0.08 |
| 26/10/2024 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 09/11/2024 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 45% | -0.36 |
| 18/03/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 44% | -0.13 |
| 25/05/2025 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 36% | -0.45 |
| 12/06/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 20/06/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 45% | -0.18 |
| 06/09/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |