10
Jr Jimmy
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 66
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Claiming · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength49%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/01/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/02/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 18% | -0.40 |
| 21/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/06/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 16/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |